Gate sensitivity
Planted-truth sweep, 200 replicate seeds per point, n = 1500
items, two models, per-draw flaky success probability q = 0.5, gate policy
--require-sign-stable --min-effect-vs-noise 1.0. Seeds are derived from the
label sensitivity-v1; the table regenerates byte-identically.
A pass rate at true gap 0 is a false pass: the gate approving a claim
where no true difference exists. g80 is the smallest swept true gap the
gate passes at least 80% of the time — the gate's detectable-gap resolution
at that noise level.
| k | flaky fraction | gap 0.0 | gap 0.005 | gap 0.01 | gap 0.02 | gap 0.05 | g80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.02 | 0.000 | 0.060 | 0.220 | 0.535 | 0.990 | 0.05 |
| 2 | 0.05 | 0.010 | 0.015 | 0.060 | 0.235 | 0.825 | 0.05 |
| 2 | 0.15 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 0.075 | 0.470 | > 0.05 |
| 4 | 0.02 | 0.020 | 0.635 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.01 |
| 4 | 0.05 | 0.010 | 0.290 | 0.860 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.01 |
| 4 | 0.15 | 0.000 | 0.150 | 0.505 | 0.995 | 1.000 | 0.02 |
| 8 | 0.02 | 0.020 | 0.835 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.005 |
| 8 | 0.05 | 0.005 | 0.375 | 0.960 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.01 |
| 8 | 0.15 | 0.000 | 0.145 | 0.555 | 0.990 | 1.000 | 0.02 |
The gap-0 column is the measured false-pass rate. Rulings scope applies: a gate pass is a statement about this synthetic noise model at these parameters, not a certificate for any real benchmark (NO_K1_CERTIFICATE).